England could be facing their biannual quarterfinal exit at Euro 2016 if the results of a data-driven oracle predicting results at the tournament in France are to be believed.
The web-based predictor, created by Switzerland-based German language news source Neue Zürcher Zeitung uses FIFA rankings, qualification records, previous tournament form, team market value and betting odds to map out a projection of how the competition could unfold.
With users able to decide how much of a factor each of these considerations may be, Loaded decided to test out what could lie ahead for Roy Hodgson’s men.
We marked FIFA rankings as largely irrelevant (obviously), along with betting odds, while market value, qualifying performance and a team’s record over the last three Euros was given more of a weighting.
The end result, however, was a predictable one for England fans with the Three Lions exiting the tournament to Belgium at the quarter-final stage. We would assume on penalties possibly with Jamie Vardy red-carded late in the game for another bit of “simulation.”
Having made it through the second spot in Group B, behind Slovakia but ahead of Wales, the Oracle had England eliminating Cristiano Ronaldo’s Portugal in the last-16 before suffering heartache at the hands of the Belgians.
Wales, who snuck out of the group in third, were beaten by Germany in the first knockout round before Die Mannschaft succumbed to Switzerland in the quarters.
France dispatched the Swiss in the semis before going on the glory in the final with victory over a Spain side that sent Belgium packing in the last four.
With users invited to use the Oracle to predict the outcome of the competition themselves, it would appear that Germany has emerged, more often than not, as the winners in France.
But with 9.7% of the calculations collected so far resulting in an England win, there might be hope yet.
Loaded staff writer Jack Beresford has produced content for Lad Bible, Axonn Media and a variety of online sports and news media outlets.