Ah, the BAFTAs, the Oscars’ younger sibling, the more refined awards, the ‘decider,’ since they are the last call for glamorous films before the Academy Awards.
Most of the time, whoever wins at the BAFTAs is likely to win an Oscar. But not always, because the British awards tend to focus more on, well, British films –after all, the gala happens in London, not Hollywood.
But who will win this year? Is there a British talent out there set to ruin the night for some Hollywood star?
Films of the year
Sure, La La Land will win the big prize, but here what matters is the winner of Outstanding British Film of the Year.
Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them is the biggest of the five nominees, and everyone in the United Kingdom with a brain loves J. K. Rowling, but the balance might be more inclined towards I, Daniel Blake or the heartrendering Denial.
When it comes to actors, it’s the same as the Oscars
The final four are a given: Emma Stone, Casey Affleck, Viola Davis and Mahershala Ali will be the big winners. That is unless the BAFTAs decide to compensate Jake Gyllenhaal for his lack of an Oscar nod by giving him the recognition he deserves for his role in Nocturnal Animals. And Brit Aaron Taylor-Johnson could steal Ali’s award as he already did at the Golden Globes.
Not so obvious when it comes to directors
Damien Chazelle has the advantage of not having Moonlight’s Barry Jenkins on the race to become to best director, but there is still a chance that the award will go to someone else. Tom Ford or Denis Villeneuve could easily take the masked face home.
Tough with screenplays
As usual, the script categories are the ones where it is harder to guess who will win, because they are all so outstanding. But if this is about taking a long shot, then the choices will be Moonlight as Original Screenplay and Nocturnal Animals as Adapted Screenplay.
Ava DuVernay will conquer the BAFTAs
The Selma director is certainly going to win Best Documentary for 13th, which shows the racial inequality in the American prison system. It is raw, graphic and revealing in a way we have never seen before. She deserves to win.
EE Rising Star Award will stay close
Five promising stars made the list, but if the world is fair, Ruth Negga will win this. The Ethiopian-Irish actress gives one of the best performances of the year in Loving, and it is a disgrace that the BAFTAs didn’t even nominate her when the Oscars did. This award is hers.
Outstanding Debut by a British Writer, Director or Producer: can’t they all win?
It seems a bit unfair to try to choose who had the best debut, but this is an awards show after all: they do need to decide who was better than the rest. The money is on either Mike Carey and Camille Gatin for their adaptation of the bestselling novel The Girl With All The Gifts or Pete Middleton, James Spinney and Jo Jo Ellison for Notes on Blindness.
But to be honest, we all know the reason why we tune in the BAFTAs: to watch Stephen Fry make sassy remarks.
The BAFTAs will take place on February 12, returning to the Royal Albert Hall for the first time since 1997.